THE MCNASTY WEEKLY

Week 5 Matchup Preview

2026 · History, current Sleeper starters, NFL matchups, rivalry receipts, picks and irresponsible amounts of shit talk.

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MATCHUP 1

Kian vs Tyler

HISTORY LEANTyler

Kian

QBDrake MayeNE vs LV

RBBhayshul TutenJAX vs PHI

RBJaylen WarrenPIT vs IND

WRJaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA vs SF

WRIsaac TeSlaaDET @ ARI

WRDohnte MeyersCIN @ MIA

TEIsaiah LikelyNYG @ WSH

RBJacory Croskey-MerrittWAS · game TBD

DEFPittsburgh SteelersPIT vs IND

Tyler

QBAaron RodgersPIT vs IND

RBJahmyr GibbsDET @ ARI

RBAshton JeantyLV @ NE

WRMike EvansSF @ SEA

WRJameson WilliamsDET @ ARI

WRWan'Dale RobinsonTEN vs HOU

TEGeorge KittleSF @ SEA

WRDenzel BostonCLE @ NYJ

KBrandon AubreyDAL vs TB

DEFDenver BroncosDEN @ LAC

KianPOSITIONTyler

Drake MayeNE vs LVPick 67

QB—

Aaron RodgersPIT vs IND

Bhayshul TutenJAX vs PHIPick 43

RB1Draft edge →

Jahmyr GibbsDET @ ARIPick 1

Jaylen WarrenPIT vs INDPick 54

RB2Draft edge →

Ashton JeantyLV @ NEPick 25

Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS · game TBDPick 91

RB3—

—

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA vs SFPick 6

WR1← Draft edge

Mike EvansSF @ SEAPick 48

Isaac TeSlaaDET @ ARI

WR2—

Jameson WilliamsDET @ ARIPick 49

Dohnte MeyersCIN @ MIA

WR3—

Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN vs HOUPick 121

—

WR4—

Denzel BostonCLE @ NYJPick 168

Isaiah LikelyNYG @ WSHPick 126

TEDraft edge →

George KittleSF @ SEAPick 96

—

K—

Brandon AubreyDAL vs TBPick 97

Pittsburgh SteelersPIT vs INDPick 174

DEFDraft edge →

Denver BroncosDEN @ LACPick 145

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesKian 7–10 Tyler

Avg Score120.47 – 126.76

Playoff Meetings3

Current StreakTyler ×4

Last meeting: 2025 W8: Tyler 124.96–87.48 Kian

Biggest ass-kicking: 2015 W8: Tyler 170.50–123.10 Kian · 47.40 pts

Closest game: 2018 W15: Kian 116.00–112.18 Tyler · 3.82 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

Tyler owns the historical edge, which means Kian gets another chance to pretend the previous 17 meetings were all bad luck. Tyler took the last meeting 124.96–87.48. The history lean is Tyler; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.

MATCHUP 2

BDo vs Michael

HISTORY LEANMichael

BDo

QBJoe BurrowCIN @ MIA

RBJaylen WrightMIA vs CIN

RBWoody MarksHOU @ TEN

WRJustin JeffersonMIN @ NO

WRMichael WilsonARI vs DET

WRParker WashingtonJAX vs PHI

TEJake FergusonDAL vs TB

WRDeebo SamuelSF @ SEA

KEvan McPhersonCIN @ MIA

DEFSeattle SeahawksSEA vs SF

Michael

QBJalen HurtsPHI @ JAX

RBJonathan TaylorIND @ PIT

RBJavonte WilliamsDAL vs TB

WRDrake LondonATL vs BAL

WRTee HigginsCIN @ MIA

WRJaylen WaddleDEN @ LAC

TEHarold FanninCLE @ NYJ

RBAaron JonesMIN @ NO

KCam LittleJAX vs PHI

DEFHouston TexansHOU @ TEN

BDoPOSITIONMichael

Joe BurrowCIN @ MIAPick 62

QB← Draft edge

Jalen HurtsPHI @ JAXPick 77

Jaylen WrightMIA vs CIN

RB1—

Jonathan TaylorIND @ PITPick 5

Woody MarksHOU @ TENPick 155

RB2Draft edge →

Javonte WilliamsDAL vs TBPick 29

—

RB3—

Aaron JonesMIN @ NOPick 116

Justin JeffersonMIN @ NOPick 11

WR1← Draft edge

Drake LondonATL vs BALPick 20

Michael WilsonARI vs DETPick 83

WR2Draft edge →

Tee HigginsCIN @ MIAPick 53

Parker WashingtonJAX vs PHIPick 59

WR3Draft edge →

Jaylen WaddleDEN @ LACPick 44

Deebo SamuelSF @ SEAPick 110

WR4—

—

Jake FergusonDAL vs TBPick 107

TEDraft edge →

Harold FanninCLE @ NYJPick 101

Evan McPhersonCIN @ MIAPick 158

KDraft edge →

Cam LittleJAX vs PHIPick 140

Seattle SeahawksSEA vs SFPick 131

DEFDraft edge →

Houston TexansHOU @ TENPick 125

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesBDo 8–12 Michael

Avg Score121.59 – 136.06

Playoff Meetings1

Current StreakMichael ×3

Last meeting: 2025 W11: Michael 158.58–93.60 BDo

Biggest ass-kicking: 2021 W13: Michael 196.72–127.22 BDo · 69.50 pts

Closest game: 2024 W2: Michael 123.44–123.30 BDo · 0.14 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

Michael owns the historical edge, which means BDo gets another chance to pretend the previous 20 meetings were all bad luck. Michael took the last meeting 158.58–93.60. The history lean is Michael; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.

MATCHUP 3

Sawm vs Butters

HISTORY LEANSawm

Sawm

QBJosh AllenBUF @ LAR

RBCam SkatteboNYG @ WSH

RBDavid MontgomeryHOU @ TEN

WRCeeDee LambDAL vs TB

WRLuther BurdenCHI @ GB

WRChristian WatsonGB vs CHI

TESam LaPortaDET @ ARI

TET.J. HockensonMIN @ NO

KKa'imi FairbairnHOU @ TEN

DEFPhiladelphia EaglesPHI @ JAX

Butters

QBDak PrescottDAL vs TB

RBChristian McCaffreySF @ SEA

RBWill ShipleyPHI @ JAX

WRChris OlaveNO vs MIN

WRDavante AdamsLAR vs BUF

WRRomeo DoubsNE vs LV

TETucker KraftGB vs CHI

RBJeremiyah LoveARI vs DET

KSpencer ShraderIND @ PIT

DEFCincinnati BengalsCIN @ MIA

SawmPOSITIONButters

Josh AllenBUF @ LARPick 15

QB← Draft edge

Dak PrescottDAL vs TBPick 94

Cam SkatteboNYG @ WSHPick 34

RB1Draft edge →

Christian McCaffreySF @ SEAPick 3

David MontgomeryHOU @ TENPick 39

RB2—

Will ShipleyPHI @ JAX

—

RB3—

Jeremiyah LoveARI vs DETPick 27

CeeDee LambDAL vs TBPick 10

WR1← Draft edge

Chris OlaveNO vs MINPick 22

Luther BurdenCHI @ GBPick 58

WR2Draft edge →

Davante AdamsLAR vs BUFPick 51

Christian WatsonGB vs CHIPick 63

WR3← Draft edge

Romeo DoubsNE vs LVPick 108

Sam LaPortaDET @ ARIPick 82

TE1Draft edge →

Tucker KraftGB vs CHIPick 70

T.J. HockensonMIN @ NO

TE2—

—

Ka'imi FairbairnHOU @ TENPick 142

K—

Spencer ShraderIND @ PIT

Philadelphia EaglesPHI @ JAXPick 135

DEF—

Cincinnati BengalsCIN @ MIA

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesSawm 8–5 Butters

Avg Score143.08 – 130.40

Playoff Meetings1

Current StreakButters ×3

Last meeting: 2025 W7: Butters 170.18–125.80 Sawm

Biggest ass-kicking: 2023 W13: Sawm 188.16–110.44 Butters · 77.72 pts

Closest game: 2024 W6: Butters 134.62–131.12 Sawm · 3.50 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

Sawm owns the historical edge, which means Butters gets another chance to pretend the previous 13 meetings were all bad luck. Butters took the last meeting 170.18–125.80. The history lean is Sawm; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.

MATCHUP 4

Andy vs Kris

HISTORY LEANKris

Andy

QBSam DarnoldSEA vs SF

RBJames CookBUF @ LAR

RBTyler AllgeierARI vs DET

WRGarrett WilsonNYJ vs CLE

WRJosh DownsIND @ PIT

WRRome OdunzeCHI @ GB

TEKenyon SadiqNYJ vs CLE

TETyler WarrenIND @ PIT

KChris BoswellPIT vs IND

DEFLos Angeles ChargersLAC vs DEN

Kris

QBKirk CousinsLV @ NE

RBKyren WilliamsLAR vs BUF

RBQuinshon JudkinsCLE @ NYJ

WRJa'Marr ChaseCIN @ MIA

WRJakobi MeyersJAX vs PHI

WRDK MetcalfPIT vs IND

TEBrock BowersLV @ NE

RBD'Andre SwiftCHI @ GB

KJason MyersSEA vs SF

DEFJacksonville JaguarsJAX vs PHI

AndyPOSITIONKris

Sam DarnoldSEA vs SF

QB—

Kirk CousinsLV @ NE

James CookBUF @ LARPick 9

RB1← Draft edge

Kyren WilliamsLAR vs BUFPick 21

Tyler AllgeierARI vs DETPick 129

RB2Draft edge →

Quinshon JudkinsCLE @ NYJPick 45

—

RB3—

D'Andre SwiftCHI @ GBPick 52

Garrett WilsonNYJ vs CLEPick 40

WR1Draft edge →

Ja'Marr ChaseCIN @ MIAPick 4

Josh DownsIND @ PITPick 105

WR2← Draft edge

Jakobi MeyersJAX vs PHIPick 165

Rome OdunzeCHI @ GBPick 57

WR3← Draft edge

DK MetcalfPIT vs INDPick 69

Kenyon SadiqNYJ vs CLE

TE1—

Brock BowersLV @ NEPick 28

Tyler WarrenIND @ PITPick 88

TE2—

—

Chris BoswellPIT vs INDPick 184

KDraft edge →

Jason MyersSEA vs SFPick 141

Los Angeles ChargersLAC vs DENPick 177

DEFDraft edge →

Jacksonville JaguarsJAX vs PHIPick 148

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesAndy 2–4 Kris

Avg Score115.35 – 144.45

Playoff Meetings0

Current StreakKris ×1

Last meeting: 2025 W4: Kris 104.28–73.98 Andy

Biggest ass-kicking: 2022 W1: Kris 199.60–108.66 Andy · 90.94 pts

Closest game: 2022 W12: Andy 157.06–155.60 Kris · 1.46 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

Kris owns the historical edge, which means Andy gets another chance to pretend the previous 6 meetings were all bad luck. Kris took the last meeting 104.28–73.98. The history lean is Kris; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.

MATCHUP 5

Sam vs Henry

HISTORY LEANHenry

Sam

QBBrock PurdySF @ SEA

RBKeaton MitchellLAC vs DEN

RBDerrick HenryBAL @ ATL

WRPuka NacuaLAR vs BUF

WRGeorge PickensDAL vs TB

WRTerry McLaurinWAS · game TBD

TEColston LovelandCHI @ GB

RBOllie GordonMIA vs CIN

KMatt GayLV @ NE

DEFLas Vegas RaidersLV @ NE

Henry

QBTyler ShoughNO vs MIN

RBOmarion HamptonLAC vs DEN

RBChase BrownCIN @ MIA

WRAntonio WilliamsWAS · game TBD

WRJaylin NoelHOU @ TEN

WRKendrick BourneARI vs DET

TETrey McBrideARI vs DET

RBBucky IrvingTB @ DAL

KChase McLaughlinTB @ DAL

DEFChicago BearsCHI @ GB

SamPOSITIONHenry

Brock PurdySF @ SEA

QB—

Tyler ShoughNO vs MIN

Keaton MitchellLAC vs DENPick 133

RB1Draft edge →

Omarion HamptonLAC vs DENPick 12

Derrick HenryBAL @ ATLPick 17

RB2Draft edge →

Chase BrownCIN @ MIAPick 13

Ollie GordonMIA vs CIN

RB3—

Bucky IrvingTB @ DALPick 46

Puka NacuaLAR vs BUFPick 8

WR1—

Antonio WilliamsWAS · game TBD

George PickensDAL vs TBPick 32

WR2—

Jaylin NoelHOU @ TEN

Terry McLaurinWAS · game TBDPick 56

WR3—

Kendrick BourneARI vs DET

Colston LovelandCHI @ GBPick 65

TEDraft edge →

Trey McBrideARI vs DETPick 36

Matt GayLV @ NE

K—

Chase McLaughlinTB @ DAL

Las Vegas RaidersLV @ NE

DEF—

Chicago BearsCHI @ GB

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesSam 8–11 Henry

Avg Score123.73 – 135.54

Playoff Meetings4

Current StreakSam ×2

Last meeting: 2025 W13: Sam 125.44–112.54 Henry

Biggest ass-kicking: 2017 W16: Henry 183.80–96.20 Sam · 87.60 pts

Closest game: 2023 W5: Sam 170.48–168.84 Henry · 1.64 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

Henry owns the historical edge, which means Sam gets another chance to pretend the previous 19 meetings were all bad luck. Sam took the last meeting 125.44–112.54. The history lean is Henry; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.

MATCHUP 6

Justin vs Kristian

HISTORY LEANKristian

Justin

QBJacoby BrissettARI vs DET

RBBijan RobinsonATL vs BAL

RBRhamondre StevensonNE vs LV

WRNico CollinsHOU @ TEN

WRMalik NabersNYG @ WSH

WRKC ConcepcionCLE @ NYJ

TEJuwan JohnsonNO vs MIN

RBJ.K. DobbinsDEN @ LAC

KTrey SmackGB vs CHI

DEFCleveland BrownsCLE @ NYJ

Kristian

QBJared GoffDET @ ARI

RBTreVeyon HendersonNE vs LV

RBRJ HarveyDEN @ LAC

WRAmon-Ra St. BrownDET @ ARI

WRMatthew GoldenGB vs CHI

WRZay FlowersBAL @ ATL

TEDallas GoedertPHI @ JAX

WRDevaughn VeleNO vs MIN

KWill ReichardMIN @ NO

DEFMinnesota VikingsMIN @ NO

JustinPOSITIONKristian

Jacoby BrissettARI vs DET

QB—

Jared GoffDET @ ARIPick 138

Bijan RobinsonATL vs BALPick 2

RB1← Draft edge

TreVeyon HendersonNE vs LVPick 55

Rhamondre StevensonNE vs LVPick 71

RB2Draft edge →

RJ HarveyDEN @ LACPick 66

J.K. DobbinsDEN @ LACPick 74

RB3—

—

Nico CollinsHOU @ TENPick 26

WR1Draft edge →

Amon-Ra St. BrownDET @ ARIPick 7

Malik NabersNYG @ WSHPick 23

WR2← Draft edge

Matthew GoldenGB vs CHIPick 114

KC ConcepcionCLE @ NYJPick 98

WR3Draft edge →

Zay FlowersBAL @ ATLPick 42

—

WR4—

Devaughn VeleNO vs MIN

Juwan JohnsonNO vs MIN

TE—

Dallas GoedertPHI @ JAXPick 151

Trey SmackGB vs CHI

K—

Will ReichardMIN @ NOPick 175

Cleveland BrownsCLE @ NYJ

DEF—

Minnesota VikingsMIN @ NOPick 186

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesJustin 2–5 Kristian

Avg Score136.15 – 140.42

Playoff Meetings0

Current StreakKristian ×1

Last meeting: 2024 W14: Kristian 170.86–139.90 Justin

Biggest ass-kicking: 2022 W10: Justin 226.18–93.54 Kristian · 132.64 pts

Closest game: 2024 W8: Justin 149.90–146.18 Kristian · 3.72 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

Kristian owns the historical edge, which means Justin gets another chance to pretend the previous 7 meetings were all bad luck. Kristian took the last meeting 170.86–139.90. The history lean is Kristian; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.