THE MCNASTY WEEKLY

Week 16 Matchup Preview

2026 · History, current Sleeper starters, NFL matchups, rivalry receipts, picks and irresponsible amounts of shit talk.

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MATCHUP 1

Kian vs Tyler

HISTORY LEANTyler

Kian

QBDrake MayeNE @ NYJ

RBBhayshul TutenJAX @ DAL

RBJaylen WarrenPIT vs CAR

WRJaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA vs LAR

WRTetairoa McMillanCAR @ PIT

WRDohnte MeyersCIN @ IND

TEIsaiah LikelyNYG @ DET

RBJacory Croskey-MerrittWAS · game TBD

KTyler LoopBAL vs CLE

DEFPittsburgh SteelersPIT vs CAR

Tyler

QBPatrick MahomesKC vs SF

RBMarShawn LloydGB @ CHI

RBAshton JeantyLV vs TEN

WRMike EvansSF @ KC

WRRashee RiceKC vs SF

WRWan'Dale RobinsonTEN @ LV

TEGeorge KittleSF @ KC

WRDenzel BostonCLE @ BAL

KBrandon AubreyDAL vs JAX

DEFDenver BroncosDEN vs BUF

KianPOSITIONTyler

Drake MayeNE @ NYJPick 67

QB← Draft edge

Patrick MahomesKC vs SFPick 120

Bhayshul TutenJAX @ DALPick 43

RB1← Draft edge

MarShawn LloydGB @ CHIPick 72

Jaylen WarrenPIT vs CARPick 54

RB2Draft edge →

Ashton JeantyLV vs TENPick 25

Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS · game TBDPick 91

RB3—

—

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA vs LARPick 6

WR1← Draft edge

Mike EvansSF @ KCPick 48

Tetairoa McMillanCAR @ PITPick 30

WR2Draft edge →

Rashee RiceKC vs SFPick 24

Dohnte MeyersCIN @ IND

WR3—

Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN @ LVPick 121

—

WR4—

Denzel BostonCLE @ BALPick 168

Isaiah LikelyNYG @ DETPick 126

TEDraft edge →

George KittleSF @ KCPick 96

Tyler LoopBAL vs CLEPick 187

KDraft edge →

Brandon AubreyDAL vs JAXPick 97

Pittsburgh SteelersPIT vs CARPick 174

DEFDraft edge →

Denver BroncosDEN vs BUFPick 145

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesKian 7–10 Tyler

Avg Score120.47 – 126.76

Playoff Meetings3

Current StreakTyler ×4

Last meeting: 2025 W8: Tyler 124.96–87.48 Kian

Biggest ass-kicking: 2015 W8: Tyler 170.50–123.10 Kian · 47.40 pts

Closest game: 2018 W15: Kian 116.00–112.18 Tyler · 3.82 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

Tyler owns the historical edge, which means Kian gets another chance to pretend the previous 17 meetings were all bad luck. Tyler took the last meeting 124.96–87.48. The history lean is Tyler; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.

MATCHUP 2

BDo vs Michael

HISTORY LEANMichael

BDo

QBJordan LoveGB @ CHI

RBJaylen WrightMIA vs LAC

RBWoody MarksHOU @ PHI

WREmeka EgbukaTB @ ATL

WRMichael WilsonARI @ NO

WRParker WashingtonJAX @ DAL

TEJake FergusonDAL vs JAX

WRDeebo SamuelSF @ KC

KEvan McPhersonCIN @ IND

DEFSeattle SeahawksSEA vs LAR

Michael

QBJalen HurtsPHI vs HOU

RBJonathan TaylorIND vs CIN

RBJavonte WilliamsDAL vs JAX

WRDrake LondonATL vs TB

WRKeon ColemanBUF @ DEN

WRJaylen WaddleDEN vs BUF

TEHarold FanninCLE @ BAL

RBEmanuel WilsonSEA vs LAR

KCam LittleJAX @ DAL

DEFHouston TexansHOU @ PHI

BDoPOSITIONMichael

Jordan LoveGB @ CHI

QB—

Jalen HurtsPHI vs HOUPick 77

Jaylen WrightMIA vs LAC

RB1—

Jonathan TaylorIND vs CINPick 5

Woody MarksHOU @ PHIPick 155

RB2Draft edge →

Javonte WilliamsDAL vs JAXPick 29

—

RB3—

Emanuel WilsonSEA vs LAR

Emeka EgbukaTB @ ATLPick 38

WR1Draft edge →

Drake LondonATL vs TBPick 20

Michael WilsonARI @ NOPick 83

WR2—

Keon ColemanBUF @ DEN

Parker WashingtonJAX @ DALPick 59

WR3Draft edge →

Jaylen WaddleDEN vs BUFPick 44

Deebo SamuelSF @ KCPick 110

WR4—

—

Jake FergusonDAL vs JAXPick 107

TEDraft edge →

Harold FanninCLE @ BALPick 101

Evan McPhersonCIN @ INDPick 158

KDraft edge →

Cam LittleJAX @ DALPick 140

Seattle SeahawksSEA vs LARPick 131

DEFDraft edge →

Houston TexansHOU @ PHIPick 125

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesBDo 8–12 Michael

Avg Score121.59 – 136.06

Playoff Meetings1

Current StreakMichael ×3

Last meeting: 2025 W11: Michael 158.58–93.60 BDo

Biggest ass-kicking: 2021 W13: Michael 196.72–127.22 BDo · 69.50 pts

Closest game: 2024 W2: Michael 123.44–123.30 BDo · 0.14 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

Michael owns the historical edge, which means BDo gets another chance to pretend the previous 20 meetings were all bad luck. Michael took the last meeting 158.58–93.60. The history lean is Michael; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.

MATCHUP 3

Sawm vs Butters

HISTORY LEANSawm

Sawm

QBJosh AllenBUF @ DEN

RBCam SkatteboNYG @ DET

RBAlvin KamaraNO vs ARI

WRCeeDee LambDAL vs JAX

WRLuther BurdenCHI vs GB

WRChristian WatsonGB @ CHI

TETravis KelceKC vs SF

WRRashid ShaheedSEA vs LAR

KKa'imi FairbairnHOU @ PHI

DEFPhiladelphia EaglesPHI vs HOU

Butters

QBMatthew StaffordLAR @ SEA

RBChristian McCaffreySF @ KC

RBJeremiyah LoveARI @ NO

WRChris OlaveNO vs ARI

WRDavante AdamsLAR @ SEA

WRRomeo DoubsNE @ NYJ

TETucker KraftGB @ CHI

KSpencer ShraderIND vs CIN

DEFLos Angeles RamsLAR @ SEA

SawmPOSITIONButters

Josh AllenBUF @ DENPick 15

QB← Draft edge

Matthew StaffordLAR @ SEAPick 123

Cam SkatteboNYG @ DETPick 34

RB1Draft edge →

Christian McCaffreySF @ KCPick 3

Alvin KamaraNO vs ARIPick 154

RB2Draft edge →

Jeremiyah LoveARI @ NOPick 27

CeeDee LambDAL vs JAXPick 10

WR1← Draft edge

Chris OlaveNO vs ARIPick 22

Luther BurdenCHI vs GBPick 58

WR2Draft edge →

Davante AdamsLAR @ SEAPick 51

Christian WatsonGB @ CHIPick 63

WR3← Draft edge

Romeo DoubsNE @ NYJPick 108

Rashid ShaheedSEA vs LARPick 111

WR4—

—

Travis KelceKC vs SFPick 106

TEDraft edge →

Tucker KraftGB @ CHIPick 70

Ka'imi FairbairnHOU @ PHIPick 142

K—

Spencer ShraderIND vs CIN

Philadelphia EaglesPHI vs HOUPick 135

DEFDraft edge →

Los Angeles RamsLAR @ SEAPick 99

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesSawm 8–5 Butters

Avg Score143.08 – 130.40

Playoff Meetings1

Current StreakButters ×3

Last meeting: 2025 W7: Butters 170.18–125.80 Sawm

Biggest ass-kicking: 2023 W13: Sawm 188.16–110.44 Butters · 77.72 pts

Closest game: 2024 W6: Butters 134.62–131.12 Sawm · 3.50 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

Sawm owns the historical edge, which means Butters gets another chance to pretend the previous 13 meetings were all bad luck. Butters took the last meeting 170.18–125.80. The history lean is Sawm; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.

MATCHUP 4

Andy vs Kris

HISTORY LEANKris

Andy

QBSam DarnoldSEA vs LAR

RBJames CookBUF @ DEN

RBTyler AllgeierARI @ NO

WRGarrett WilsonNYJ vs NE

WRJosh DownsIND vs CIN

WRRome OdunzeCHI vs GB

TEKenyon SadiqNYJ vs NE

TETyler WarrenIND vs CIN

KChris BoswellPIT vs CAR

DEFLos Angeles ChargersLAC @ MIA

Kris

QBKirk CousinsLV vs TEN

RBKyren WilliamsLAR @ SEA

RBQuinshon JudkinsCLE @ BAL

WRJa'Marr ChaseCIN @ IND

WRJakobi MeyersJAX @ DAL

WRDK MetcalfPIT vs CAR

TEBrock BowersLV vs TEN

RBD'Andre SwiftCHI vs GB

KJason MyersSEA vs LAR

DEFJacksonville JaguarsJAX @ DAL

AndyPOSITIONKris

Sam DarnoldSEA vs LAR

QB—

Kirk CousinsLV vs TEN

James CookBUF @ DENPick 9

RB1← Draft edge

Kyren WilliamsLAR @ SEAPick 21

Tyler AllgeierARI @ NOPick 129

RB2Draft edge →

Quinshon JudkinsCLE @ BALPick 45

—

RB3—

D'Andre SwiftCHI vs GBPick 52

Garrett WilsonNYJ vs NEPick 40

WR1Draft edge →

Ja'Marr ChaseCIN @ INDPick 4

Josh DownsIND vs CINPick 105

WR2← Draft edge

Jakobi MeyersJAX @ DALPick 165

Rome OdunzeCHI vs GBPick 57

WR3← Draft edge

DK MetcalfPIT vs CARPick 69

Kenyon SadiqNYJ vs NE

TE1—

Brock BowersLV vs TENPick 28

Tyler WarrenIND vs CINPick 88

TE2—

—

Chris BoswellPIT vs CARPick 184

KDraft edge →

Jason MyersSEA vs LARPick 141

Los Angeles ChargersLAC @ MIAPick 177

DEFDraft edge →

Jacksonville JaguarsJAX @ DALPick 148

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesAndy 2–4 Kris

Avg Score115.35 – 144.45

Playoff Meetings0

Current StreakKris ×1

Last meeting: 2025 W4: Kris 104.28–73.98 Andy

Biggest ass-kicking: 2022 W1: Kris 199.60–108.66 Andy · 90.94 pts

Closest game: 2022 W12: Andy 157.06–155.60 Kris · 1.46 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

Kris owns the historical edge, which means Andy gets another chance to pretend the previous 6 meetings were all bad luck. Kris took the last meeting 104.28–73.98. The history lean is Kris; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.

MATCHUP 5

Sam vs Henry

HISTORY LEANHenry

Sam

QBBrock PurdySF @ KC

RBKeaton MitchellLAC @ MIA

RBDerrick HenryBAL vs CLE

WRPuka NacuaLAR @ SEA

WRGeorge PickensDAL vs JAX

WRTerry McLaurinWAS · game TBD

TEColston LovelandCHI vs GB

RBOllie GordonMIA vs LAC

KMatt GayLV vs TEN

DEFLas Vegas RaidersLV vs TEN

Henry

QBTyler ShoughNO vs ARI

RBOmarion HamptonLAC @ MIA

RBBucky IrvingTB @ ATL

WRAntonio WilliamsWAS · game TBD

WRJaylin NoelHOU @ PHI

WRKendrick BourneARI @ NO

TETrey McBrideARI @ NO

WRLadd McConkeyLAC @ MIA

KChase McLaughlinTB @ ATL

DEFChicago BearsCHI vs GB

SamPOSITIONHenry

Brock PurdySF @ KC

QB—

Tyler ShoughNO vs ARI

Keaton MitchellLAC @ MIAPick 133

RB1Draft edge →

Omarion HamptonLAC @ MIAPick 12

Derrick HenryBAL vs CLEPick 17

RB2← Draft edge

Bucky IrvingTB @ ATLPick 46

Ollie GordonMIA vs LAC

RB3—

—

Puka NacuaLAR @ SEAPick 8

WR1—

Antonio WilliamsWAS · game TBD

George PickensDAL vs JAXPick 32

WR2—

Jaylin NoelHOU @ PHI

Terry McLaurinWAS · game TBDPick 56

WR3—

Kendrick BourneARI @ NO

—

WR4—

Ladd McConkeyLAC @ MIAPick 37

Colston LovelandCHI vs GBPick 65

TEDraft edge →

Trey McBrideARI @ NOPick 36

Matt GayLV vs TEN

K—

Chase McLaughlinTB @ ATL

Las Vegas RaidersLV vs TEN

DEF—

Chicago BearsCHI vs GB

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesSam 8–11 Henry

Avg Score123.73 – 135.54

Playoff Meetings4

Current StreakSam ×2

Last meeting: 2025 W13: Sam 125.44–112.54 Henry

Biggest ass-kicking: 2017 W16: Henry 183.80–96.20 Sam · 87.60 pts

Closest game: 2023 W5: Sam 170.48–168.84 Henry · 1.64 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

Henry owns the historical edge, which means Sam gets another chance to pretend the previous 19 meetings were all bad luck. Sam took the last meeting 125.44–112.54. The history lean is Henry; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.

MATCHUP 6

Justin vs Kristian

HISTORY LEANKristian

Justin

QBLamar JacksonBAL vs CLE

RBBijan RobinsonATL vs TB

RBRhamondre StevensonNE @ NYJ

WRDJ MooreBUF @ DEN

WRMalik NabersNYG @ DET

WRNico CollinsHOU @ PHI

TEJuwan JohnsonNO vs ARI

RBJ.K. DobbinsDEN vs BUF

DEFCleveland BrownsCLE @ BAL

Kristian

QBJayden DanielsWAS · game TBD

RBKenneth WalkerKC vs SF

RBChuba HubbardCAR @ PIT

WRDeVonta SmithPHI vs HOU

WRMatthew GoldenGB @ CHI

WRZay FlowersBAL vs CLE

TEDallas GoedertPHI vs HOU

WRDevaughn VeleNO vs ARI

KWill ReichardMIN vs WSH

DEFMinnesota VikingsMIN vs WSH

JustinPOSITIONKristian

Lamar JacksonBAL vs CLEPick 50

QB← Draft edge

Jayden DanielsWAS · game TBDPick 112

Bijan RobinsonATL vs TBPick 2

RB1← Draft edge

Kenneth WalkerKC vs SFPick 18

Rhamondre StevensonNE @ NYJPick 71

RB2← Draft edge

Chuba HubbardCAR @ PITPick 79

J.K. DobbinsDEN vs BUFPick 74

RB3—

—

DJ MooreBUF @ DENPick 47

WR1Draft edge →

DeVonta SmithPHI vs HOUPick 31

Malik NabersNYG @ DETPick 23

WR2← Draft edge

Matthew GoldenGB @ CHIPick 114

Nico CollinsHOU @ PHIPick 26

WR3← Draft edge

Zay FlowersBAL vs CLEPick 42

—

WR4—

Devaughn VeleNO vs ARI

Juwan JohnsonNO vs ARI

TE—

Dallas GoedertPHI vs HOUPick 151

—

K—

Will ReichardMIN vs WSHPick 175

Cleveland BrownsCLE @ BAL

DEF—

Minnesota VikingsMIN vs WSHPick 186

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesJustin 2–5 Kristian

Avg Score136.15 – 140.42

Playoff Meetings0

Current StreakKristian ×1

Last meeting: 2024 W14: Kristian 170.86–139.90 Justin

Biggest ass-kicking: 2022 W10: Justin 226.18–93.54 Kristian · 132.64 pts

Closest game: 2024 W8: Justin 149.90–146.18 Kristian · 3.72 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

Kristian owns the historical edge, which means Justin gets another chance to pretend the previous 7 meetings were all bad luck. Kristian took the last meeting 170.86–139.90. The history lean is Kristian; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.