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THE MCNASTY WEEKLY

Week 17 Matchup Preview

2026 · History, current Sleeper starters, NFL matchups, rivalry receipts, picks and irresponsible amounts of shit talk.

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MATCHUP 1

Kian vs Michael

HISTORY LEANKian

Kian

QBDrake MayeNE vs DEN
RBBhayshul TutenJAX vs WSH
RBJaylen WarrenPIT @ TEN
WRJaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA @ CAR
WRTetairoa McMillanCAR vs SEA
WRDohnte MeyersCIN vs BAL
TEIsaiah LikelyNYG @ DAL
RBJacory Croskey-MerrittWAS · game TBD
KTyler LoopBAL @ CIN
DEFPittsburgh SteelersPIT @ TEN
VS

Michael

QBJalen HurtsPHI @ SF
RBJonathan TaylorIND @ CLE
RBJavonte WilliamsDAL vs NYG
WRDrake LondonATL vs NO
WRKeon ColemanBUF @ MIA
WRJaylen WaddleDEN @ NE
TEHarold FanninCLE vs IND
RBEmanuel WilsonSEA @ CAR
KCam LittleJAX vs WSH
DEFHouston TexansHOU @ GB
KianPOSITIONMichael
Drake MayeNE vs DENPick 67
QB← Draft edge
Jalen HurtsPHI @ SFPick 77
Bhayshul TutenJAX vs WSHPick 43
RB1Draft edge →
Jonathan TaylorIND @ CLEPick 5
Jaylen WarrenPIT @ TENPick 54
RB2Draft edge →
Javonte WilliamsDAL vs NYGPick 29
Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS · game TBDPick 91
RB3—
Emanuel WilsonSEA @ CAR
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA @ CARPick 6
WR1← Draft edge
Drake LondonATL vs NOPick 20
Tetairoa McMillanCAR vs SEAPick 30
WR2—
Keon ColemanBUF @ MIA
Dohnte MeyersCIN vs BAL
WR3—
Jaylen WaddleDEN @ NEPick 44
Isaiah LikelyNYG @ DALPick 126
TEDraft edge →
Harold FanninCLE vs INDPick 101
Tyler LoopBAL @ CINPick 187
KDraft edge →
Cam LittleJAX vs WSHPick 140
Pittsburgh SteelersPIT @ TENPick 174
DEFDraft edge →
Houston TexansHOU @ GBPick 125

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesKian 9–8 Michael
Avg Score124.59 – 121.93
Playoff Meetings3
Current StreakKian ×1

Last meeting: 2025 W6: Kian 130.84–68.90 Michael

Biggest ass-kicking: 2022 W14: Michael 206.68–137.20 Kian · 69.48 pts

Closest game: 2017 W4: Kian 120.70–118.60 Michael · 2.10 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

Kian owns the historical edge, which means Michael gets another chance to pretend the previous 17 meetings were all bad luck. Kian took the last meeting 130.84–68.90. The history lean is Kian; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.

MATCHUP 2

Tyler vs Butters

HISTORY LEANTyler

Tyler

QBPatrick MahomesKC @ LAC
RBMarShawn LloydGB vs HOU
RBAshton JeantyLV @ ARI
WRMike EvansSF vs PHI
WRRashee RiceKC @ LAC
WRWan'Dale RobinsonTEN vs PIT
TEGeorge KittleSF vs PHI
WRDenzel BostonCLE vs IND
KBrandon AubreyDAL vs NYG
DEFDenver BroncosDEN @ NE
VS

Butters

QBMatthew StaffordLAR @ TB
RBChristian McCaffreySF vs PHI
RBJeremiyah LoveARI vs LV
WRChris OlaveNO @ ATL
WRDavante AdamsLAR @ TB
WRRomeo DoubsNE vs DEN
TETucker KraftGB vs HOU
KSpencer ShraderIND @ CLE
DEFLos Angeles RamsLAR @ TB
TylerPOSITIONButters
Patrick MahomesKC @ LACPick 120
QB← Draft edge
Matthew StaffordLAR @ TBPick 123
MarShawn LloydGB vs HOUPick 72
RB1Draft edge →
Christian McCaffreySF vs PHIPick 3
Ashton JeantyLV @ ARIPick 25
RB2← Draft edge
Jeremiyah LoveARI vs LVPick 27
Mike EvansSF vs PHIPick 48
WR1Draft edge →
Chris OlaveNO @ ATLPick 22
Rashee RiceKC @ LACPick 24
WR2← Draft edge
Davante AdamsLAR @ TBPick 51
Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN vs PITPick 121
WR3Draft edge →
Romeo DoubsNE vs DENPick 108
Denzel BostonCLE vs INDPick 168
WR4—
—
George KittleSF vs PHIPick 96
TEDraft edge →
Tucker KraftGB vs HOUPick 70
Brandon AubreyDAL vs NYGPick 97
K—
Spencer ShraderIND @ CLE
Denver BroncosDEN @ NEPick 145
DEFDraft edge →
Los Angeles RamsLAR @ TBPick 99

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesTyler 8–4 Butters
Avg Score134.72 – 123.30
Playoff Meetings1
Current StreakTyler ×3

Last meeting: 2025 W5: Tyler 164.72–145.52 Butters

Biggest ass-kicking: 2020 W7: Tyler 184.26–115.82 Butters · 68.44 pts

Closest game: 2018 W9: Tyler 91.10–88.40 Butters · 2.70 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

Tyler owns the historical edge, which means Butters gets another chance to pretend the previous 12 meetings were all bad luck. Tyler took the last meeting 164.72–145.52. The history lean is Tyler; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.

MATCHUP 3

BDo vs Kris

HISTORY LEANBDo

BDo

QBJordan LoveGB vs HOU
RBJaylen WrightMIA vs BUF
RBWoody MarksHOU @ GB
WREmeka EgbukaTB vs LAR
WRMichael WilsonARI vs LV
WRParker WashingtonJAX vs WSH
TEJake FergusonDAL vs NYG
WRDeebo SamuelSF vs PHI
KEvan McPhersonCIN vs BAL
DEFSeattle SeahawksSEA @ CAR
VS

Kris

QBKirk CousinsLV @ ARI
RBKyren WilliamsLAR @ TB
RBQuinshon JudkinsCLE vs IND
WRJa'Marr ChaseCIN vs BAL
WRJakobi MeyersJAX vs WSH
WRDK MetcalfPIT @ TEN
TEBrock BowersLV @ ARI
RBD'Andre SwiftCHI vs DET
KJason MyersSEA @ CAR
DEFJacksonville JaguarsJAX vs WSH
BDoPOSITIONKris
Jordan LoveGB vs HOU
QB—
Kirk CousinsLV @ ARI
Jaylen WrightMIA vs BUF
RB1—
Kyren WilliamsLAR @ TBPick 21
Woody MarksHOU @ GBPick 155
RB2Draft edge →
Quinshon JudkinsCLE vs INDPick 45
—
RB3—
D'Andre SwiftCHI vs DETPick 52
Emeka EgbukaTB vs LARPick 38
WR1Draft edge →
Ja'Marr ChaseCIN vs BALPick 4
Michael WilsonARI vs LVPick 83
WR2← Draft edge
Jakobi MeyersJAX vs WSHPick 165
Parker WashingtonJAX vs WSHPick 59
WR3← Draft edge
DK MetcalfPIT @ TENPick 69
Deebo SamuelSF vs PHIPick 110
WR4—
—
Jake FergusonDAL vs NYGPick 107
TEDraft edge →
Brock BowersLV @ ARIPick 28
Evan McPhersonCIN vs BALPick 158
KDraft edge →
Jason MyersSEA @ CARPick 141
Seattle SeahawksSEA @ CARPick 131
DEF← Draft edge
Jacksonville JaguarsJAX vs WSHPick 148

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesBDo 9–5 Kris
Avg Score131.79 – 118.44
Playoff Meetings2
Current StreakKris ×3

Last meeting: 2025 W8: Kris 156.20–116.76 BDo

Biggest ass-kicking: 2023 W2: BDo 163.66–76.24 Kris · 87.42 pts

Closest game: 2020 W1: Kris 146.30–143.08 BDo · 3.22 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

BDo owns the historical edge, which means Kris gets another chance to pretend the previous 14 meetings were all bad luck. Kris took the last meeting 156.20–116.76. The history lean is BDo; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.

MATCHUP 4

Sawm vs Henry

HISTORY LEANHenry

Sawm

QBJosh AllenBUF @ MIA
RBCam SkatteboNYG @ DAL
RBAlvin KamaraNO @ ATL
WRCeeDee LambDAL vs NYG
WRLuther BurdenCHI vs DET
WRChristian WatsonGB vs HOU
TETravis KelceKC @ LAC
WRRashid ShaheedSEA @ CAR
KKa'imi FairbairnHOU @ GB
DEFPhiladelphia EaglesPHI @ SF
VS

Henry

QBTyler ShoughNO @ ATL
RBOmarion HamptonLAC vs KC
RBBucky IrvingTB vs LAR
WRAntonio WilliamsWAS · game TBD
WRJaylin NoelHOU @ GB
WRKendrick BourneARI vs LV
TETrey McBrideARI vs LV
WRLadd McConkeyLAC vs KC
KChase McLaughlinTB vs LAR
DEFChicago BearsCHI vs DET
SawmPOSITIONHenry
Josh AllenBUF @ MIAPick 15
QB—
Tyler ShoughNO @ ATL
Cam SkatteboNYG @ DALPick 34
RB1Draft edge →
Omarion HamptonLAC vs KCPick 12
Alvin KamaraNO @ ATLPick 154
RB2Draft edge →
Bucky IrvingTB vs LARPick 46
CeeDee LambDAL vs NYGPick 10
WR1—
Antonio WilliamsWAS · game TBD
Luther BurdenCHI vs DETPick 58
WR2—
Jaylin NoelHOU @ GB
Christian WatsonGB vs HOUPick 63
WR3—
Kendrick BourneARI vs LV
Rashid ShaheedSEA @ CARPick 111
WR4Draft edge →
Ladd McConkeyLAC vs KCPick 37
Travis KelceKC @ LACPick 106
TEDraft edge →
Trey McBrideARI vs LVPick 36
Ka'imi FairbairnHOU @ GBPick 142
K—
Chase McLaughlinTB vs LAR
Philadelphia EaglesPHI @ SFPick 135
DEF—
Chicago BearsCHI vs DET

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesSawm 5–6 Henry
Avg Score124.07 – 124.65
Playoff Meetings0
Current StreakSawm ×1

Last meeting: 2025 W6: Sawm 113.66–106.26 Henry

Biggest ass-kicking: 2022 W1: Sawm 170.12–87.96 Henry · 82.16 pts

Closest game: 2025 W6: Sawm 113.66–106.26 Henry · 7.40 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

Henry owns the historical edge, which means Sawm gets another chance to pretend the previous 11 meetings were all bad luck. Sawm took the last meeting 113.66–106.26. The history lean is Henry; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.

MATCHUP 5

Andy vs Justin

HISTORY LEANJustin

Andy

QBSam DarnoldSEA @ CAR
RBJames CookBUF @ MIA
RBTyler AllgeierARI vs LV
WRGarrett WilsonNYJ vs MIN
WRJosh DownsIND @ CLE
WRRome OdunzeCHI vs DET
TEKenyon SadiqNYJ vs MIN
TETyler WarrenIND @ CLE
KChris BoswellPIT @ TEN
DEFLos Angeles ChargersLAC vs KC
VS

Justin

QBLamar JacksonBAL @ CIN
RBBijan RobinsonATL vs NO
RBRhamondre StevensonNE vs DEN
WRDJ MooreBUF @ MIA
WRMalik NabersNYG @ DAL
WRNico CollinsHOU @ GB
TEJuwan JohnsonNO @ ATL
RBJ.K. DobbinsDEN @ NE
DEFCleveland BrownsCLE vs IND
AndyPOSITIONJustin
Sam DarnoldSEA @ CAR
QB—
Lamar JacksonBAL @ CINPick 50
James CookBUF @ MIAPick 9
RB1Draft edge →
Bijan RobinsonATL vs NOPick 2
Tyler AllgeierARI vs LVPick 129
RB2Draft edge →
Rhamondre StevensonNE vs DENPick 71
—
RB3—
J.K. DobbinsDEN @ NEPick 74
Garrett WilsonNYJ vs MINPick 40
WR1← Draft edge
DJ MooreBUF @ MIAPick 47
Josh DownsIND @ CLEPick 105
WR2Draft edge →
Malik NabersNYG @ DALPick 23
Rome OdunzeCHI vs DETPick 57
WR3Draft edge →
Nico CollinsHOU @ GBPick 26
Kenyon SadiqNYJ vs MIN
TE1—
Juwan JohnsonNO @ ATL
Tyler WarrenIND @ CLEPick 88
TE2—
—
Chris BoswellPIT @ TENPick 184
K—
—
Los Angeles ChargersLAC vs KCPick 177
DEF—
Cleveland BrownsCLE vs IND

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesAndy 1–5 Justin
Avg Score128.75 – 132.83
Playoff Meetings0
Current StreakJustin ×3

Last meeting: 2025 W13: Justin 131.24–120.80 Andy

Biggest ass-kicking: 2023 W14: Andy 171.50–136.34 Justin · 35.16 pts

Closest game: 2024 W3: Justin 123.42–118.18 Andy · 5.24 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

Justin owns the historical edge, which means Andy gets another chance to pretend the previous 6 meetings were all bad luck. Justin took the last meeting 131.24–120.80. The history lean is Justin; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.

MATCHUP 6

Sam vs Kristian

HISTORY LEANSam

Sam

QBBrock PurdySF vs PHI
RBKeaton MitchellLAC vs KC
RBDerrick HenryBAL @ CIN
WRPuka NacuaLAR @ TB
WRGeorge PickensDAL vs NYG
WRTerry McLaurinWAS · game TBD
TEColston LovelandCHI vs DET
RBOllie GordonMIA vs BUF
KMatt GayLV @ ARI
DEFLas Vegas RaidersLV @ ARI
VS

Kristian

QBJayden DanielsWAS · game TBD
RBKenneth WalkerKC @ LAC
RBChuba HubbardCAR vs SEA
WRDeVonta SmithPHI @ SF
WRMatthew GoldenGB vs HOU
WRZay FlowersBAL @ CIN
TEDallas GoedertPHI @ SF
WRDevaughn VeleNO @ ATL
KWill ReichardMIN @ NYJ
DEFMinnesota VikingsMIN @ NYJ
SamPOSITIONKristian
Brock PurdySF vs PHI
QB—
Jayden DanielsWAS · game TBDPick 112
Keaton MitchellLAC vs KCPick 133
RB1Draft edge →
Kenneth WalkerKC @ LACPick 18
Derrick HenryBAL @ CINPick 17
RB2← Draft edge
Chuba HubbardCAR vs SEAPick 79
Ollie GordonMIA vs BUF
RB3—
—
Puka NacuaLAR @ TBPick 8
WR1← Draft edge
DeVonta SmithPHI @ SFPick 31
George PickensDAL vs NYGPick 32
WR2← Draft edge
Matthew GoldenGB vs HOUPick 114
Terry McLaurinWAS · game TBDPick 56
WR3Draft edge →
Zay FlowersBAL @ CINPick 42
—
WR4—
Devaughn VeleNO @ ATL
Colston LovelandCHI vs DETPick 65
TE← Draft edge
Dallas GoedertPHI @ SFPick 151
Matt GayLV @ ARI
K—
Will ReichardMIN @ NYJPick 175
Las Vegas RaidersLV @ ARI
DEF—
Minnesota VikingsMIN @ NYJPick 186

Advantage is based on 2026 McNasty draft position when both starters have draft data.

📊 Rivalry Database

All-Time SeriesSam 7–4 Kristian
Avg Score121.17 – 117.56
Playoff Meetings1
Current StreakKristian ×1

Last meeting: 2024 W13: Kristian 170.76–86.12 Sam

Biggest ass-kicking: 2024 W13: Kristian 170.76–86.12 Sam · 84.64 pts

Closest game: 2020 W11: Kristian 113.78–112.94 Sam · 0.84 pts

🔥 THE SHIT TALK

Sam owns the historical edge, which means Kristian gets another chance to pretend the previous 11 meetings were all bad luck. Kristian took the last meeting 170.76–86.12. The history lean is Sam; if that goes to shit by Sunday night, nobody gets to act surprised because this league is run by idiots.